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iShares MSCI Switzerland Capped ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 15th, 2026

1 Day

13.10%

decreased by 0.10%

1 Week

13.35%

increased by 0.15%

1 Month

14.24%

increased by 1.04%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/14/2024

to

10/14/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Switzerland Capped ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 2, 1996 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 299% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 299% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0201
4.77***
αARCH0.0319
3.10***
βGARCH0.9102
112.98***
γleverage0.0955
4.63***

0.990

Persistence

68d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0201
4.77***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0319
3.10***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9102
112.98***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0955
4.63***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

68 days