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iShares MSCI Switzerland Capped ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

13.67%

decreased by 0.45%

1 Week

13.90%

decreased by 0.22%

1 Month

14.72%

increased by 0.60%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 09:38 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Switzerland Capped ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 2, 1996 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 303% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 303% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0201
4.77***
αARCH0.0315
3.07***
βGARCH0.9106
113.28***
γleverage0.0955
4.64***

0.990

Persistence

68d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0201
4.77***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0315
3.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9106
113.28***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0955
4.64***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

68 days