V-Lab
iShares MSCI Switzerland Capped ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
14.20%
decreased by 0.40%
1 Week
14.41%
decreased by 0.19%
1 Month
15.18%
increased by 0.58%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 2, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 300% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0202 | 19.10*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0321 | 12.30*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9097 | 450.10*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0964 | 18.48*** |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
69 days
Other iShares MSCI Switzerland Capped ETF Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on ETFs