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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Switzerland Capped ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026

1 Day

20.17%

increased by 0.82%

1 Week

20.22%

increased by 0.87%

1 Month

20.40%

increased by 1.05%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Switzerland Capped ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 2, 1996 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 308% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 308% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0202
4.76***
αARCH0.0314
3.06***
βGARCH0.9101
112.96***
γleverage0.0969
4.71***

0.990

Persistence

69d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0202
4.76***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0314
3.06***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9101
112.96***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0969
4.71***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

69 days