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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Switzerland Capped ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

14.20%

decreased by 0.40%

1 Week

14.41%

decreased by 0.19%

1 Month

15.18%

increased by 0.58%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Switzerland Capped ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 2, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 300% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0202
19.10***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0321
12.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9097
450.10***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0964
18.48***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

69 days