V-Lab
iShares MSCI Switzerland Capped ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
14.57%
decreased by 0.47%
1 Week
14.77%
decreased by 0.27%
1 Month
15.50%
increased by 0.46%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 2, 1996 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 306% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0202 | 19.07*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0317 | 12.25*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9099 | 451.12*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0968 | 18.68*** |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
69 days
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