Skip to main content
V-Lab

iShares MSCI Switzerland Capped ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

14.57%

decreased by 0.47%

1 Week

14.77%

decreased by 0.27%

1 Month

15.50%

increased by 0.46%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Switzerland Capped ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 2, 1996 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 306% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0202
19.07***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0317
12.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9099
451.12***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0968
18.68***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

69 days