V-Lab
iShares MSCI Switzerland Capped ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
14.56%
decreased by 0.26%
1 Week
14.90%
increased by 0.08%
1 Month
15.98%
increased by 1.16%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 2, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 20 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3576 | 6.98*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0912 | 8.41*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8751 | 68.87*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=5
| γ1 | -0.0217 | -1.50 |
| γ2 | 0.0460 | 2.15** |
| γ3 | -0.0517 | -3.44*** |
| γ4 | 0.0589 | 4.00*** |
| γ5 | -0.0443 | -3.90*** |
Persistence:
0.966
Half-life:
20 days
Other iShares MSCI Switzerland Capped ETF Analyses
Other Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Analyses on ETFs