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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Switzerland Capped ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

15.97%

increased by 1.77%

1 Week

16.16%

increased by 1.96%

1 Month

16.79%

increased by 2.59%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of iShares MSCI Switzerland Capped ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 2, 1996 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0265
7.19***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8763
250.43***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1134
22.89***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0021
7.75***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0135
7.44***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9850
494.72***

Persistence:

0.959

Half-life:

17 days