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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Switzerland Capped ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

14.93%

decreased by 0.46%

1 Week

15.22%

decreased by 0.17%

1 Month

16.12%

increased by 0.73%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of iShares MSCI Switzerland Capped ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 2, 1996 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0258
7.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8771
252.76***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1136
22.94***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0021
7.70***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0132
7.42***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9852
501.40***

Persistence:

0.960

Half-life:

17 days