iShares MSCI Switzerland Capped ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
15.97%
increased by 1.77%
1 Week
16.16%
increased by 1.96%
1 Month
16.79%
increased by 2.59%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 2, 1996 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 51 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0265 | 7.19*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8763 | 250.43*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1134 | 22.89*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0021 | 7.75*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0135 | 7.44*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9850 | 494.72*** |
Persistence:
0.959
Half-life:
17 days
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