V-Lab
iShares MSCI Switzerland Capped ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
14.51%
decreased by 0.41%
1 Week
14.82%
decreased by 0.10%
1 Month
15.81%
increased by 0.89%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 2, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 51 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0265 | 7.20*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8764 | 250.84*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1132 | 22.87*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0021 | 7.76*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0134 | 7.45*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9851 | 498.27*** |
Persistence:
0.960
Half-life:
17 days
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