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iShares MSCI Switzerland Capped ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

13.71%

decreased by 0.39%

1 Week

14.10%

decreased by 0.00%

1 Month

15.25%

increased by 1.15%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Switzerland Capped ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 2, 1996 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow51
αARCH0.0258
1.76*
βGARCH0.8777
80.70***
γleverage0.1123
6.23***
λ₁tau intercept0.0021
1.19
λ₂forecast adj.0.0131
2.22**
λ₃tau persistence0.9853
147.29***

0.960

Persistence

17d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0258
1.76*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8777
80.70***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1123
6.23***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0021
1.19
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0131
2.22**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9853
147.29***

Persistence:

0.960

Half-life:

17 days