V-Lab
iShares US Real Estate ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026
1 Day
14.12%
increased by 0.04%
1 Week
14.34%
increased by 0.26%
1 Month
15.16%
increased by 1.08%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 3, 2026 at 09:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 16, 2000 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 109% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0114 | 2.17** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1970 | 10.64*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9822 | 283.95*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0693 | -4.55*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
39 days
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