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V-Lab

iShares US Real Estate ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

12.61%

decreased by 0.41%

1 Week

13.20%

increased by 0.18%

1 Month

14.78%

increased by 1.76%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares US Real Estate ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 16, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 388% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0354
11.60***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8426
195.64***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1372
27.48***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0133
8.74***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0661
7.32***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9250
90.71***

Persistence:

0.947

Half-life:

13 days