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V-Lab

Goldman Sachs Nasdaq-100 Premium Income ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

22.09%

decreased by 1.56%

1 Week

22.36%

decreased by 1.29%

1 Month

21.41%

decreased by 2.24%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Goldman Sachs Nasdaq-100 Premium Income ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 26, 2023 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7825
35.53***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2368
13.34***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1666
0.23
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1434
0.26
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7297
0.64

Persistence:

0.901

Half-life:

7 days