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V-Lab

Goldman Sachs Nasdaq-100 Premium Income ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

16.36%

decreased by 1.72%

1 Week

16.60%

decreased by 1.48%

1 Month

17.53%

decreased by 0.55%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Goldman Sachs Nasdaq-100 Premium Income ETF AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 26, 2023 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 58% more than positive returns

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0157
14.78***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2249
11.37***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7099
83.77***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1303
4.08***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-