Goldman Sachs Nasdaq-100 Premium Income ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
16.19%
decreased by 2.31%
1 Week
14.72%
decreased by 3.78%
1 Month
11.55%
decreased by 6.95%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 26, 2023 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 32% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 0.50 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0523 | 11.69*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2666 | 22.73*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7051 | 67.97*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2741 | 10.71*** |
δ power Transformation power | 0.5000 | 5.15*** |
Persistence:
0.922
Half-life:
9 days
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