V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2X Long DUOL Daily ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
23.06%
increased by 0.78%
1 Week
23.15%
increased by 0.87%
1 Month
20.80%
decreased by 1.48%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:21 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 11, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.19 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.04 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0471 | 4.46*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0056 | 5.85*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8070 | 59.19*** |
Persistence:
0.024
Half-life:
0 days
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