Leverage Shares 2X Long DUOL Daily ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
85.25%
decreased by 3.23%
1 Week
96.69%
increased by 8.21%
1 Month
101.44%
increased by 12.96%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 11, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3144 | 127.69*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 148.59*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9967 | 0.95 |
Persistence:
0.564
Half-life:
1 days
Other Leverage Shares 2X Long DUOL Daily ETF Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on ETFs