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V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long DUOL Daily ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

23.06%

increased by 0.78%

1 Week

23.15%

increased by 0.87%

1 Month

20.80%

decreased by 1.48%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:21 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long DUOL Daily ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 11, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.19
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.04
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0471
4.46***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0056
5.85***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8070
59.19***

Persistence:

0.024

Half-life:

0 days