V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2X Long DUOL Daily ETF MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
121.95%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
121.95%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
121.96%
increased by 0.01%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 02:19 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 11, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Hessian SE
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.7982 | 1.73* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9526 | 3.27*** |
Persistence:
0.953
Half-life:
14 days
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