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V-Lab

NBI Canadian Core Plus Bond Fund MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

5.69%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

5.37%

decreased by 0.32%

1 Month

5.28%

decreased by 0.41%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 09:22 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of NBI Canadian Core Plus Bond Fund MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 22, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5000
59.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5000
-48.31***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1087
0.81
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0050
0.00

Persistence:

0.250

Half-life:

1 days