NBI Canadian Core Plus Bond Fund MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
1.14%
1 Week
269,692.24%
1 Month
10,304,940,756,743,824,000,000,000,000.00%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 12:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 22, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5000 | 27.05*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -27.05*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 |
Persistence:
0.250
Half-life:
1 days
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