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Columbia Corporate Bond ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

2.12%

decreased by 0.68%

1 Week

1.69%

decreased by 1.11%

1 Month

0.97%

decreased by 1.83%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 02:23 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Columbia Corporate Bond ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 11, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow81
αARCH0.0019
βGARCH0.5253
γleverage0.4863
λ₁tau intercept0.0000
λ₂forecast adj.0.0007
λ₃tau persistence0.2363

0.770

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0019
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5253
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.4863
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0007
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.2363

Persistence:

0.770

Half-life:

3 days