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V-Lab

Columbia Corporate Bond ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

2.97%

increased by 0.97%

1 Week

2.55%

increased by 0.55%

1 Month

2.37%

increased by 0.37%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 02:19 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Columbia Corporate Bond ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 11, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5000
75.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0263
59.30***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5000
-77.12***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.01
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0426
14.36***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8107
155.72***

Persistence:

0.276

Half-life:

1 days