Columbia Corporate Bond ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
2.97%
increased by 0.97%
1 Week
2.55%
increased by 0.55%
1 Month
2.37%
increased by 0.37%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 02:19 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 11, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5000 | 75.51*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0263 | 59.30*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -77.12*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0426 | 14.36*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8107 | 155.72*** |
Persistence:
0.276
Half-life:
1 days
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