Columbia Corporate Bond ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
7.80%
increased by 2.14%
1 Week
7.46%
increased by 1.80%
1 Month
6.50%
increased by 0.84%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 13, 2026 at 09:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 11, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.29) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0803 | 5.72*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8455 | 37.96*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2867 | 6.52*** |
Persistence:
0.926
Half-life:
9 days
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