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V-Lab

Columbia Corporate Bond ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

7.80%

increased by 2.14%

1 Week

7.46%

increased by 1.80%

1 Month

6.50%

increased by 0.84%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 13, 2026 at 09:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Columbia Corporate Bond ETF AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 11, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.29) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0000
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0803
5.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8455
37.96***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2867
6.52***

Persistence:

0.926

Half-life:

9 days