Skip to main content
V-Lab

PGIM S&P 500 Max Buffer ETF - December MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

0.63%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

0.70%

increased by 0.07%

1 Month

0.72%

increased by 0.09%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 02:20 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of PGIM S&P 500 Max Buffer ETF - December MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 2, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.16
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.04
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.4999
55.52***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0020
1.17
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.01
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0338
0.04

Persistence:

0.250

Half-life:

0 days