PGIM S&P 500 Max Buffer ETF - December Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
1.44%
decreased by 0.04%
1 Week
1.44%
decreased by 0.04%
1 Month
1.43%
decreased by 0.05%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 02:18 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 2, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026Illiquid Asset
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0009 | 1.39 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0658 | 1.58 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8491 | 10.23*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0658 | -1.05 |
Persistence:
0.882
Half-life:
6 days
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