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V-Lab

PGIM S&P 500 Max Buffer ETF - December GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

2.10%

decreased by 0.03%

1 Week

2.17%

increased by 0.04%

1 Month

2.31%

increased by 0.18%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 02:16 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of PGIM S&P 500 Max Buffer ETF - December GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 2, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0022
3.46***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0717
5.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8380
25.49***

Persistence:

0.910

Half-life:

7 days