V-Lab
iShares Global Clean Energy Index ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
36.60%
increased by 2.55%
1 Week
36.52%
increased by 2.47%
1 Month
36.81%
increased by 2.76%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 09:16 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 3, 2022 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 189% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0571 | 4.43*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2383 | 8.13*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1078 | 2.79*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0756 | 0.35 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1790 | 2.06** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8210 | 4.82*** |
Persistence:
0.349
Half-life:
1 days
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