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V-Lab

Neuberger Flexible Credit Income ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

3.93%

decreased by 0.22%

1 Week

3.91%

decreased by 0.24%

1 Month

3.92%

decreased by 0.23%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 02:28 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Neuberger Flexible Credit Income ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 25, 2024 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.8970
28.65***
γleverage0.1354
3.43***
λ₁tau intercept0.0521
0.24
λ₂forecast adj.0.1264
0.27
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.965

Persistence

19d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8970
28.65***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1354
3.43***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0521
0.24
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1264
0.27
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.965

Half-life:

19 days