V-Lab
Neuberger Flexible Credit Income ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
2.66%
decreased by 0.08%
1 Week
2.79%
increased by 0.05%
1 Month
3.22%
increased by 0.48%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 02:32 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 25, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0074 | 0.63 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8638 | 143.45*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2050 | 13.04*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0865 | 0.01 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.974
Half-life:
26 days
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