V-Lab
Goldman Sachs Equal Weight US Large Cap Equity ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026
1 Day
9.52%
decreased by 0.35%
1 Week
10.09%
increased by 0.22%
1 Month
12.01%
increased by 2.14%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 15, 2017 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 104% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0263 | 9.05*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1732 | 12.34*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7264 | 115.34*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1804 | 9.16*** |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
67 days
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