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Goldman Sachs Equal Weight US Large Cap Equity ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

12.21%

decreased by 0.17%

1 Week

12.71%

increased by 0.33%

1 Month

14.30%

increased by 1.92%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Goldman Sachs Equal Weight US Large Cap Equity ETF AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 15, 2017 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.55) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Asymmetry: negative returns raise volatility more
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0000
0.00
αARCH0.1351
6.05***
βGARCH0.8389
37.62***
γleverage0.5521
5.55***

0.974

Persistence

26d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0000
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1351
6.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8389
37.62***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5521
5.55***

Persistence:

0.974

Half-life:

26 days