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V-Lab

Goldman Sachs Equal Weight US Large Cap Equity ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

9.30%

decreased by 0.11%

1 Week

10.25%

increased by 0.84%

1 Month

12.69%

increased by 3.28%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

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graph of Goldman Sachs Equal Weight US Large Cap Equity ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 15, 2017 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7831
85.53***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2538
28.70***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0594
1.68*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1621
1.61
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7876
5.92***

Persistence:

0.910

Half-life:

7 days