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V-Lab

Goldman Sachs Equal Weight US Large Cap Equity ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

10.10%

decreased by 0.27%

1 Week

10.70%

increased by 0.33%

1 Month

11.85%

increased by 1.48%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

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graph of Goldman Sachs Equal Weight US Large Cap Equity ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 15, 2017 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7823
87.30***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2540
28.72***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0631
1.66*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1756
1.59
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7706
5.29***

Persistence:

0.909

Half-life:

7 days