V-Lab
Goldman Sachs Equal Weight US Large Cap Equity ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
10.10%
decreased by 0.27%
1 Week
10.70%
increased by 0.33%
1 Month
11.85%
increased by 1.48%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 15, 2017 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7823 | 87.30*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2540 | 28.72*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0631 | 1.66* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1756 | 1.59 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7706 | 5.29*** |
Persistence:
0.909
Half-life:
7 days
Other Goldman Sachs Equal Weight US Large Cap Equity ETF Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on ETFs