Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Goldman Sachs Equal Weight US Large Cap Equity ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

11.67%

decreased by 0.84%

1 Week

11.91%

decreased by 0.60%

1 Month

12.75%

increased by 0.24%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Goldman Sachs Equal Weight US Large Cap Equity ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 15, 2017 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow36
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.7833
26.47***
γleverage0.2514
7.35***
λ₁tau intercept0.0557
1.65*
λ₂forecast adj.0.1575
1.95*
λ₃tau persistence0.7942
7.66***

0.909

Persistence

7d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7833
26.47***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2514
7.35***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0557
1.65*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1575
1.95*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7942
7.66***

Persistence:

0.909

Half-life:

7 days