V-Lab
Goldman Sachs Equal Weight US Large Cap Equity ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
9.30%
decreased by 0.11%
1 Week
10.25%
increased by 0.84%
1 Month
12.69%
increased by 3.28%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 15, 2017 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7831 | 85.53*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2538 | 28.70*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0594 | 1.68* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1621 | 1.61 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7876 | 5.92*** |
Persistence:
0.910
Half-life:
7 days
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