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Goldman Sachs Equal Weight US Large Cap Equity ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

10.97%

decreased by 0.29%

1 Week

11.43%

increased by 0.17%

1 Month

12.57%

increased by 1.31%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 02:18 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Goldman Sachs Equal Weight US Large Cap Equity ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 15, 2017 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow36
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.7816
26.41***
γleverage0.2535
7.35***
λ₁tau intercept0.0557
1.65*
λ₂forecast adj.0.1602
1.96**
λ₃tau persistence0.7914
7.55***

0.908

Persistence

7d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7816
26.41***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2535
7.35***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0557
1.65*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1602
1.96**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7914
7.55***

Persistence:

0.908

Half-life:

7 days