V-Lab
Goldman Sachs Equal Weight US Large Cap Equity ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
12.44%
decreased by 0.42%
1 Week
12.75%
decreased by 0.11%
1 Month
13.78%
increased by 0.92%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 15, 2017 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0064 | 0.69 |
| αARCH | 0.2067 | 5.04*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9621 | 137.29*** |
| γleverage | -0.1487 | -5.68*** |
0.962
Persistence18d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0064 | 0.69 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2067 | 5.04*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9621 | 137.29*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1487 | -5.68*** |
Persistence:
0.962
Half-life:
18 days
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