Goldman Sachs Equal Weight US Large Cap Equity ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026
1 Day
27.55%
decreased by 0.87%
1 Week
27.35%
decreased by 1.07%
1 Month
26.62%
decreased by 1.80%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 03:15 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 15, 2017 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0307 | 4.45*** |
| αARCH | 0.0399 | 1.31 |
| βGARCH | 0.8434 | 35.47*** |
| γleverage | 0.1983 | 3.79*** |
0.982
Persistence39d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0307 | 4.45*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0399 | 1.31 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8434 | 35.47*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1983 | 3.79*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
39 days
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