V-Lab
Goldman Sachs Equal Weight US Large Cap Equity ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
9.30%
decreased by 0.34%
1 Week
9.89%
increased by 0.25%
1 Month
11.75%
increased by 2.11%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 15, 2017 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0287 | 17.07*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0298 | 4.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8525 | 162.90*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2007 | 15.90*** |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
40 days
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