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Goldman Sachs Equal Weight US Large Cap Equity ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

27.55%

decreased by 0.87%

1 Week

27.35%

decreased by 1.07%

1 Month

26.62%

decreased by 1.80%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 03:15 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Goldman Sachs Equal Weight US Large Cap Equity ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 15, 2017 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0307
4.45***
αARCH0.0399
1.31
βGARCH0.8434
35.47***
γleverage0.1983
3.79***

0.982

Persistence

39d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0307
4.45***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0399
1.31
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8434
35.47***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1983
3.79***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

39 days