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Goldman Sachs Equal Weight US Large Cap Equity ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

12.35%

increased by 0.86%

1 Week

12.71%

increased by 1.22%

1 Month

13.89%

increased by 2.40%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Goldman Sachs Equal Weight US Large Cap Equity ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 15, 2017 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0285
4.27***
αARCH0.0298
1.11
βGARCH0.8531
41.05***
γleverage0.1992
3.97***

0.982

Persistence

39d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0285
4.27***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0298
1.11
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8531
41.05***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1992
3.97***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

39 days