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V-Lab

Goldman Sachs Equal Weight US Large Cap Equity ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

9.30%

decreased by 0.34%

1 Week

9.89%

increased by 0.25%

1 Month

11.75%

increased by 2.11%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

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graph of Goldman Sachs Equal Weight US Large Cap Equity ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 15, 2017 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0287
17.07***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0298
4.44***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8525
162.90***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2007
15.90***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

40 days