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Goldman Sachs Equal Weight US Large Cap Equity ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

11.17%

decreased by 0.36%

1 Week

11.60%

increased by 0.07%

1 Month

13.01%

increased by 1.48%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Goldman Sachs Equal Weight US Large Cap Equity ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 15, 2017 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0285
4.35***
αARCH0.0306
1.14
βGARCH0.8522
40.74***
γleverage0.1990
4.02***

0.982

Persistence

39d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0285
4.35***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0306
1.14
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8522
40.74***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1990
4.02***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

39 days