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V-Lab

Grayscale Ethereum Staking Mini ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

64.05%

decreased by 2.76%

1 Week

68.97%

increased by 2.16%

1 Month

69.97%

increased by 3.16%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Grayscale Ethereum Staking Mini ETF AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 23, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 6.28) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

15.0000
26.52***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0775
5.44***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0010
5.43***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

6.2814
6.51***

Persistence:

0.079

Half-life:

0 days