V-Lab
Grayscale Ethereum Staking Mini ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
66.45%
decreased by 5.29%
1 Week
65.11%
decreased by 6.63%
1 Month
64.32%
decreased by 7.42%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 23, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2122 | 6.96*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0767 | 1.84* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4977 | 1.55 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.1095 | 1.63 |
Persistence:
0.574
Half-life:
1 days
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