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V-Lab

Grayscale Ethereum Staking Mini ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

58.80%

decreased by 3.23%

1 Week

59.33%

decreased by 2.70%

1 Month

60.13%

decreased by 1.90%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Grayscale Ethereum Staking Mini ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 23, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 256% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0504
6.38***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7435
38.81***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1293
9.41***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9992
26.71***

Persistence:

0.859

Half-life:

5 days