V-Lab
Grayscale Ethereum Staking Mini ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
58.80%
decreased by 3.23%
1 Week
59.33%
decreased by 2.70%
1 Month
60.13%
decreased by 1.90%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 23, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 256% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0504 | 6.38*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7435 | 38.81*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1293 | 9.41*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9992 | 26.71*** |
Persistence:
0.859
Half-life:
5 days
Other Grayscale Ethereum Staking Mini ETF Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on ETFs