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Grayscale Ethereum Staking Mini ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

74.37%

decreased by 5.70%

1 Week

73.04%

decreased by 7.03%

1 Month

71.79%

decreased by 8.28%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Grayscale Ethereum Staking Mini ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 23, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.06 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

20.1568
8.15***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0811
2.30**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7114
11.02***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.0562
0.54

Persistence:

0.711

Half-life:

2 days