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Betapro Nasdaq-100 -2X D ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

49.16%

decreased by 2.71%

1 Week

49.20%

decreased by 2.67%

1 Month

49.34%

decreased by 2.53%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 09:05 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Betapro Nasdaq-100 -2X D ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 18, 2008 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1791
4.36***
αARCH0.2015
6.18***
βGARCH0.8792
73.49***
γleverage-0.1971
-5.72***

0.982

Persistence

39d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1791
4.36***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2015
6.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8792
73.49***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1971
-5.72***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

39 days