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V-Lab

Betapro Nasdaq-100 -2X D ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 9th, 2026

1 Day

59.24%

decreased by 3.55%

1 Week

58.95%

decreased by 3.84%

1 Month

57.90%

decreased by 4.89%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 12:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

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2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Betapro Nasdaq-100 -2X D ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 18, 2008 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1775
17.31***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2012
24.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8787
288.95***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1952
-22.03***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

39 days