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Betapro Nasdaq-100 -2X D ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

31.05%

decreased by 1.28%

1 Week

31.91%

decreased by 0.42%

1 Month

34.81%

increased by 2.48%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 09:19 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

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2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Betapro Nasdaq-100 -2X D ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 18, 2008 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

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Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1782
4.35***
αARCH0.2014
6.16***
βGARCH0.8790
72.89***
γleverage-0.1966
-5.67***

0.982

Persistence

38d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1782
4.35***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2014
6.16***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8790
72.89***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1966
-5.67***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

38 days