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V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long ECHO Daily ETF APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

104.76%

decreased by 3.34%

1 Week

107.32%

decreased by 0.78%

1 Month

113.94%

increased by 5.84%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long ECHO Daily ETF APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 16, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. The volatility power δ = 1.31 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
1.15
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0527
0.16
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8782
29.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-1.0000
-0.11
δ

power

Transformation power

1.3059
2.60***

Persistence:

0.932

Half-life:

10 days