V-Lab
Calamos Nasdaq Autocallable Income ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
10.83%
decreased by 0.14%
1 Week
10.81%
decreased by 0.16%
1 Month
10.73%
decreased by 0.24%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 20, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.990, volatility shocks have a half-life of 70 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0037 | 2.54** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9300 | 86.24*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1203 | 4.81*** |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
70 days
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