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V-Lab

T Rowe Price Active Core International Equity ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

16.45%

decreased by 0.43%

1 Week

16.74%

decreased by 0.14%

1 Month

17.73%

increased by 0.85%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of T Rowe Price Active Core International Equity ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 11, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 42 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 42 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0367
5.55***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9173
39.46***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1327
3.94***

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

42 days