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V-Lab

State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026

1 Day

36.60%

decreased by 1.35%

1 Week

36.41%

decreased by 1.54%

1 Month

35.68%

decreased by 2.27%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 22, 1998 to Jul 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 368% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0289
16.72***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0319
9.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8989
389.65***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1171
18.14***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

64 days