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V-Lab

State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026

1 Day

32.55%

increased by 3.03%

1 Week

32.42%

increased by 2.90%

1 Month

31.93%

increased by 2.41%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 22, 1998 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 365% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0291
16.83***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0320
10.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8986
389.19***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1169
18.12***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

63 days