V-Lab
BMO Equal Weight US BKS Indx Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
19.26%
decreased by 1.55%
1 Week
19.78%
decreased by 1.03%
1 Month
21.42%
increased by 0.61%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:11 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 17, 2014 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 96% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0812 | 24.10*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1166 | 20.10*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7999 | 194.90*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1125 | 10.12*** |
Persistence:
0.973
Half-life:
25 days
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