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V-Lab

Direxion Daily Intc Bull 2X ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

158.28%

decreased by 5.91%

1 Week

27,086,990.53%

increased by 27,086,826.34%

1 Month

282,374,538,512,239,100,000,000,000,000.00%

increased by 282,374,538,512,239,100,000,000,000,000.00%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Direxion Daily Intc Bull 2X ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 19, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0041
0.02
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8596
2.38**
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0040
-0.02
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8371
0.02
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.862

Half-life:

5 days