V-Lab
Direxion Daily Intc Bull 2X ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
149.46%
decreased by 2.21%
1 Week
150.65%
decreased by 1.02%
1 Month
154.09%
increased by 2.42%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 19, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.91* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0713 | 1.46 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9163 | 35.12*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0713 | -1.75* |
Persistence:
0.952
Half-life:
14 days
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