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V-Lab

T-Rex 2X Long TTD DY TGT ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026

1 Day

77.71%

decreased by 1.16%

1 Week

785,360.53%

increased by 785,281.66%

1 Month

97,287,491,487,857,780,000,000.00%

increased by 97,287,491,487,857,780,000,000.00%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 09:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of T-Rex 2X Long TTD DY TGT ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 17, 2025 to Jul 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
5.00***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0005
14.17***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
33.55***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.5519
20.69***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
1.43

Persistence:

0.251

Half-life:

1 days