T-Rex 2X Long TTD DY TGT ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026
1 Day
77.71%
decreased by 1.16%
1 Week
785,360.53%
increased by 785,281.66%
1 Month
97,287,491,487,857,780,000,000.00%
increased by 97,287,491,487,857,780,000,000.00%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 09:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 17, 2025 to Jul 2, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 81 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 5.00*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0005 | 14.17*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 33.55*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.5519 | 20.69*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 1.43 |
Persistence:
0.251
Half-life:
1 days
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