T-Rex 2X Long TTD DY TGT ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
103.18%
decreased by 20.00%
1 Week
115.05%
decreased by 8.13%
1 Month
118.32%
decreased by 4.86%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 17, 2025 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.6501 | 3.26*** |
| αARCH | 0.2861 | 0.75 |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -4.1408 | -1.29 |
| γ2 | 4.7113 | 1.17 |
0.286
Persistence1d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6501 | 3.26*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2861 | 0.75 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -4.1408 | -1.29 |
| γ2 | 4.7113 | 1.17 |
Persistence:
0.286
Half-life:
1 days
Other T-Rex 2X Long TTD DY TGT ETF Analyses
Other Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Analyses on ETFs