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V-Lab

SLW Short Duration Income ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

0.21%

decreased by 0.08%

1 Week

0.18%

decreased by 0.11%

1 Month

0.10%

decreased by 0.19%

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:48 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of SLW Short Duration Income ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 5, 2025 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow116
αARCH0.0008
βGARCH0.5378
γleverage0.4960
λ₁tau intercept0.0000
λ₂forecast adj.0.0001
λ₃tau persistence0.0009

0.787

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

116
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0008
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5378
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.4960
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0001
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0009

Persistence:

0.787

Half-life:

3 days