V-Lab
SLW Short Duration Income ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
0.91%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
0.91%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
0.91%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 02:26 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 5, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026Stationarity Enforced
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 46 | |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
| βGARCH | 0.9081 | 0.02 |
| γleverage | 0.0000 | -0.01 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0033 | 106.16*** |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
0.908
Persistence7d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9081 | 0.02 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0000 | -0.01 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0033 | 106.16*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.908
Half-life:
7 days
Other SLW Short Duration Income ETF Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on ETFs