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V-Lab
V-Lab

SLW Short Duration Income ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

0.91%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

0.91%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

0.91%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 02:26 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of SLW Short Duration Income ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 5, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026
Stationarity Enforced

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow46
αARCH0.0000
0.01
βGARCH0.9081
0.02
γleverage0.0000
-0.01
λ₁tau intercept0.0033
106.16***
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.908

Persistence

7d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.01
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9081
0.02
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0000
-0.01
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0033
106.16***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.908

Half-life:

7 days