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V-Lab

SLW Short Duration Income ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

0.08%

decreased by 0.14%

1 Week

0.07%

decreased by 0.15%

1 Month

0.06%

decreased by 0.16%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of SLW Short Duration Income ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 5, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5618
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0883
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.4998
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0001
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0075

Persistence:

0.400

Half-life:

1 days