V-Lab
Roundhill UNH WeeklyPay ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
31.90%
1 Week
31.34%
1 Month
30.09%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 3, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5000 | 58.66*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.02 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -59.78*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3893 | 20.57*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.4276 | 76.79*** |
Persistence:
0.250
Half-life:
1 days
Other Roundhill UNH WeeklyPay ETF Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on ETFs