V-Lab
Roundhill UNH WeeklyPay ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
27.89%
1 Week
13,612,665,866,758.06%
1 Month
9,422,752,464,115,780,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 02:19 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 3, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0361 | 34.91*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 1.43 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 81.26*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.9674 | 13.20*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.286
Half-life:
1 days
Other Roundhill UNH WeeklyPay ETF Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on ETFs