V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026
1 Day
145.67%
decreased by 0.90%
1 Week
148.88%
increased by 2.31%
1 Month
158.61%
increased by 12.04%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 13, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 19-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.28 |
| αARCH | 0.0602 | 0.71 |
| βGARCH | 0.9155 | 7.06*** |
| γleverage | -0.0238 | -0.16 |
0.964
Persistence19d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.28 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0602 | 0.71 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9155 | 7.06*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0238 | -0.16 |
Persistence:
0.964
Half-life:
19 days
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