V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026
1 Day
191.27%
decreased by 0.32%
1 Week
191.53%
decreased by 0.06%
1 Month
192.37%
increased by 0.78%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 13, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 21-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.08 |
| αARCH | 0.0094 | 0.13 |
| βGARCH | 0.9623 | 2.63*** |
| γleverage | -0.0094 | -0.09 |
0.967
Persistence21d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.08 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0094 | 0.13 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9623 | 2.63*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0094 | -0.09 |
Persistence:
0.967
Half-life:
21 days
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