Leverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026
1 Day
141.55%
decreased by 3.98%
1 Week
145.24%
decreased by 0.29%
1 Month
156.39%
increased by 10.86%
Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 09:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 13, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 19-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.76 |
| αARCH | 0.0898 | 0.94 |
| βGARCH | 0.8865 | 13.71*** |
| γleverage | -0.0238 | -0.13 |
0.964
Persistence19d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.76 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0898 | 0.94 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8865 | 13.71*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0238 | -0.13 |
Persistence:
0.964
Half-life:
19 days
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