V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
200.17%
increased by 0.02%
1 Week
200.22%
increased by 0.07%
1 Month
200.36%
increased by 0.21%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 13, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 22 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 22 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.30 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0064 | 0.30 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9656 | 10.16*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0064 | -0.24 |
Persistence:
0.969
Half-life:
22 days
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