Leverage Shares 2X Long ONDS Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026
1 Day
292.95%
increased by 0.79%
1 Week
290.43%
decreased by 1.73%
1 Month
281.62%
decreased by 10.54%
Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 13, 2026 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 29 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 29 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 29-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 1.02 |
| αARCH | 0.1172 | 1.09 |
| βGARCH | 0.8539 | 14.93*** |
| γleverage | 0.0111 | 0.05 |
0.977
Persistence29d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.02 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1172 | 1.09 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8539 | 14.93*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0111 | 0.05 |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
29 days
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