V-Lab
Grayscale Avalanche Staking ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
49.79%
decreased by 4.69%
1 Week
52.07%
decreased by 2.41%
1 Month
52.59%
decreased by 1.89%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 02:25 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 12, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026σ
AGARCH Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 9.3368 | 6.07*** |
| αARCH | 0.1209 | 1.17 |
| βGARCH | 0.0272 | 1.13 |
| γleverage | 0.7690 | 0.33 |
0.148
Persistence0d
Half-lifeσ
AGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 9.3368 | 6.07*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1209 | 1.17 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0272 | 1.13 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.7690 | 0.33 |
Persistence:
0.148
Half-life:
0 days
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