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V-Lab
V-Lab

Sequoia Global Value ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

12.30%

increased by 0.13%

1 Week

12.37%

increased by 0.20%

1 Month

12.45%

increased by 0.28%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 15, 2026 at 09:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Sequoia Global Value ETF AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 18, 2024 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.71) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Asymmetry: negative returns raise volatility more
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1068
1.86*
αARCH0.1071
1.75*
βGARCH0.6333
4.89***
γleverage0.7078
3.53***

0.740

Persistence

2d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1068
1.86*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1071
1.75*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6333
4.89***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.7078
3.53***

Persistence:

0.740

Half-life:

2 days