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V-Lab

Sequoia Global Value ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

10.88%

decreased by 1.31%

1 Week

11.07%

decreased by 1.12%

1 Month

11.65%

decreased by 0.54%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 02:38 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Sequoia Global Value ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 18, 2024 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.5875
7.29***
γleverage0.3277
4.22***
λ₁tau intercept0.0515
0.72
λ₂forecast adj.0.0629
0.84
λ₃tau persistence0.8611
5.05***

0.751

Persistence

2d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5875
7.29***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.3277
4.22***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0515
0.72
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0629
0.84
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8611
5.05***

Persistence:

0.751

Half-life:

2 days