V-Lab
Sequoia Global Value ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
10.90%
decreased by 0.59%
1 Week
11.49%
decreased by 0.00%
1 Month
12.59%
increased by 1.10%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 02:28 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 18, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6283 | 23.97*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.3018 | 14.12*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.5119 | 0.17 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2825 | 0.25 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.779
Half-life:
3 days
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