V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
138.71%
decreased by 18.27%
1 Week
152.39%
decreased by 4.59%
1 Month
180.79%
increased by 23.81%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 10, 2026 to Jul 24, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 15.0000 | 4.82*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2971 | 12.88*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6183 | 56.04*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.4486 | 0.46 |
Persistence:
0.915
Half-life:
8 days
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