V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026
1 Day
162.07%
decreased by 6.73%
1 Week
163.81%
decreased by 4.99%
1 Month
168.12%
decreased by 0.68%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:34 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 10, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 8-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.3907 | 0.96 |
| αARCH | 0.1080 | 1.24 |
| βGARCH | 0.9184 | 10.38*** |
| γleverage | 0.0448 | 0.27 |
0.918
Persistence8d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3907 | 0.96 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1080 | 1.24 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9184 | 10.38*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0448 | 0.27 |
Persistence:
0.918
Half-life:
8 days
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