V-Lab
Innovatr EQ DF PR - 1 YR MAY EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
2.12%
increased by 0.05%
1 Week
2.17%
increased by 0.10%
1 Month
2.38%
increased by 0.31%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 1, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
The leverage effect is captured by the negative gamma (gamma = -0.1565), confirming that negative shocks increase volatility more than positive shocks of equal magnitude.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Asymmetry: Negative shocks have larger impact on volatility (leverage effect)
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | -0.0303 | -0.41 |
| αARCH | 0.0749 | 1.23 |
| βGARCH | 0.9866 | 28.72*** |
| γleverage | -0.1565 | -2.45** |
0.987
Persistence51d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | -0.0303 | -0.41 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0749 | 1.23 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9866 | 28.72*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1565 | -2.45** |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
51 days
Other Innovatr EQ DF PR - 1 YR MAY Analyses
Other EGARCH Analyses on ETFs