Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Innovatr EQ DF PR - 1 YR MAY EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

2.12%

increased by 0.05%

1 Week

2.17%

increased by 0.10%

1 Month

2.38%

increased by 0.31%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Innovatr EQ DF PR - 1 YR MAY EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 1, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

The leverage effect is captured by the negative gamma (gamma = -0.1565), confirming that negative shocks increase volatility more than positive shocks of equal magnitude.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Asymmetry: Negative shocks have larger impact on volatility (leverage effect)
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst-0.0303
-0.41
αARCH0.0749
1.23
βGARCH0.9866
28.72***
γleverage-0.1565
-2.45**

0.987

Persistence

51d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

-0.0303
-0.41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0749
1.23
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9866
28.72***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1565
-2.45**

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

51 days