V-Lab
Grayscale Avalanche Staking ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
222.72%
increased by 9.85%
1 Week
152.53%
decreased by 60.34%
1 Month
92.88%
decreased by 119.99%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 02:18 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 12, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5140 | 3.02*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | -0.8852 | -0.40 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7931 | 230.29*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1216 | -0.08 |
Persistence:
0.793
Half-life:
3 days
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