V-Lab
Grayscale Avalanche Staking ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026
1 Day
53.88%
increased by 3.51%
1 Week
53.10%
increased by 2.73%
1 Month
52.73%
increased by 2.36%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:34 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 12, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 1-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.2080 | 0.61 |
| αARCH | 0.2391 | 1.68* |
| βGARCH | 0.4959 | 0.58 |
| γleverage | -0.0130 | -0.07 |
0.496
Persistence1d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2080 | 0.61 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2391 | 1.68* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4959 | 0.58 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0130 | -0.07 |
Persistence:
0.496
Half-life:
1 days
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