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V-Lab

Tradr 2X Long Clsk Daily ETF MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

236.13%

decreased by 1.26%

1 Week

236.73%

decreased by 0.66%

1 Month

238.87%

increased by 1.48%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:19 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Tradr 2X Long Clsk Daily ETF MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 17, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 41 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 41 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 41-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst4.2387
0.12
αARCH0.0421
0.44
βGARCH0.9413
31.74***

0.983

Persistence

41d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.2387
0.12
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0421
0.44
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9413
31.74***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

41 days