V-Lab
Tradr 2X Long Clsk Daily ETF MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026
1 Day
236.13%
decreased by 1.26%
1 Week
236.73%
decreased by 0.66%
1 Month
238.87%
increased by 1.48%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:19 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 17, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 41 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 41 days.
μ
MEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 41-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 4.2387 | 0.12 |
| αARCH | 0.0421 | 0.44 |
| βGARCH | 0.9413 | 31.74*** |
0.983
Persistence41d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 4.2387 | 0.12 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0421 | 0.44 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9413 | 31.74*** |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
41 days
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