V-Lab
Tradr 2X Long Clsk Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
171.79%
decreased by 2.48%
1 Week
172.22%
decreased by 2.05%
1 Month
173.55%
decreased by 0.72%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 10:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 17, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 17-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.76 |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.9303 | 18.09*** |
| γleverage | 0.0592 | 0.60 |
0.960
Persistence17d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.76 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9303 | 18.09*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0592 | 0.60 |
Persistence:
0.960
Half-life:
17 days
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