V-Lab
Tradr 2X Long Clsk Daily ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
173.36%
increased by 14.52%
1 Week
168.05%
increased by 9.21%
1 Month
166.71%
increased by 7.87%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 10:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 17, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.2499 | 7.22*** |
| αARCH | 0.1841 | 1.40 |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.5877 | 2.15** |
0.184
Persistence0d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2499 | 7.22*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1841 | 1.40 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.5877 | 2.15** |
Persistence:
0.184
Half-life:
0 days
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